Table 1 Estimated marginal impacts of Bt corn, humidity/drought, and temperature on aflatoxin-related insurance claims and indemnities.

From: The Impact of Bt Corn on Aflatoxin-Related Insurance Claims in the United States

 

Aflatoxin-related insurance claims (percentage)

Aflatoxin-related insurance claims (percentage)

$1,000 indemnities

Variables

(1)

(2)

(3)

Bt/stacked corn adoption rate (%)b

−0.016***

−14.10***a

 

(0.003)

(3.041)

Viptera corn adoption rate (%)

0.252

 

(0.163)

Non-Viptera Bt corn adoption rate (%)

−0.292**

 

(0.139)

Palmer Z index (index range −6.44 ~ 11.58)

   

Palmer Z in June

−0.044***

−0.129

−41.42***

 

(0.012)

(0.200)

(14.53)

Palmer Z in July

−0.041***

−0.997***

−44.32***

 

(0.011)

(0.292)

(11.24)

Palmer Z in August

0.006

−0.229

6.525

 

(0.008)

(0.211)

(7.479)

Palmer Z in September

0.020***

0.046

16.84**

 

(0.008)

(0.194)

(6.710)

Temperature in June (proportion of the temperature range, 0–1 value)

   

Range 30–40 °C

0.908***

5.761**

893.1***

 

(0.194)

(2.658)

(215.2)

Above 42 °C

−3.188

25.032

−3,576

 

(2.727)

(25.471)

(2,302)

Temperature in July (proportion of the temperature range, 0–1 value)

   

Range 30–40 °C

0.325**

10.206***

289.9**

 

(0.140)

(3.395)

(137.5)

Above 42 °C

−0.675

2.466

−602.9

 

(1.210)

(21.173)

(1,081)

Insurance

   

Insurance coverage (ratio with range 0 and 1)

2,047**

 

(797.1)

Insured area (hectare)

0.031***

 

(0.010)

State Effects Controlled

Yes

Yes

Yes

Year Effects Controlled

Yes

Yes

Yes

Observations

12,127

4,198

12,127

  1. aThe marginal effect of Bt/stacked corn adoption, −14.1, in the model (3) means that an increase of one percentage point in Bt adoption rate in a county is associated with lowering aflatoxin-related insurance indemnities by $14,100 in that county, on average. bBt corn adoption rate is summation of Viptera corn adoption rate and Non-Viptera Bt corn adoption rate. Bootstrapped standard errors in parentheses, ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1.