Figure 2
From: Physics-guided probabilistic modeling of extreme precipitation under climate change
(Left) In each watershed, median historical Bayesian changes are calculated (median of the 1975–1999 minus the 1950–1974 climatology), where the median of the 1950–1974 posterior is subtracted from the median of 1975–1999. Those changes are averaged across all return periods and seasons. The same changes are calculated for the median of changes from the original ensemble and from observed changes. Brown serves to indicate decrease, green increase, and white means no change. (Center) The same as the left panel but averaged across watersheds and seasons. (Right) The same as the left panel but averaged across watersheds and return periods.
