Table 3 Central tendency for the number of infected farms and maximum spread distance for 7 regions in the UK using movement data and temperature from 2013.
From: Bayesian optimisation of restriction zones for bluetongue control
Region | Infected farms (–) | Spread distance (km) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
MIZ | NMIZ | MIZ | NMIZ | |
Cheshire | \(1192_{-188}^{+161}\) | \(1182_{-194}^{+97}\) | \(53.38_{-7.82}^{+16.38}\) | \(45.51_{-10.72}^{+22.41}\) |
East Sussex | \(1146_{-45}^{+77}\) | \(1094_{-71}^{+83}\) | \(45.51_{-3.78}^{+3.34}\) | \(30.88_{-1.65}^{+1.35}\) |
Hampshire | \(548_{-53}^{+68}\) | \(556_{-70}^{+47}\) | \(32.54_{-2.49}^{+1.64}\) | \(28.18_{-1.10}^{+1.46}\) |
Norfolk | \(248_{-48}^{+46}\) | \(248_{-47}^{+53}\) | \(25.10_{-1.07}^{+3.03}\) | \(24.03_{-0.80}^{+1.83}\) |
Somerset | \(2693_{-256}^{+199}\) | \(2500_{-258}^{+157}\) | \(60.95_{-4.99}^{+7.29}\) | \(46.34_{-9.23}^{+11.15}\) |
Dyfed | \(1258_{-175}^{+251}\) | \(1203_{-173}^{+184}\) | \(57.75_{-6.95}^{+7.39}\) | \(37.31_{-6.67}^{+12.06}\) |
Cumbria | \(317_{-90}^{+70}\) | \(312_{-73}^{+99}\) | \(39.21_{-4.87}^{+14.26}\) | \(26.85_{-5.71}^{+13.74}\) |
