Table 1 Summary statistics for the three GAM models: the two spatial models tested the effect of the environmental predictors on little bustard density in each survey period (2003–2006 and 2016) and the population variation model tested the effect of the environmental predictors on the delta in little bustard density across surveys (2016–2003–2006).
Model coefficients | Estimate | SE | t | edf | F | p value | Deviance explained (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spatial models | ||||||||
Survey 2003–2006 Density | Intercept | 0.87 | 0.16 | 5.49 | 0.000 | 24.6 | ||
Habitat | 1.00 | 14.82 | 0.000 | |||||
Survey 2016 Density | Intercept | − 0.09 | 0.18 | − 0.47 | 0.643 | 71.2 | ||
Habitat | 1.00 | 55.94 | 0.000 | |||||
Cattle proportion | 1.88 | 5.42 | 0.007 | |||||
Population variation model | ||||||||
Density variation | Intercept | − 1.24 | 0.14 | − 8.73 | 0.000 | 80.6 | ||
Density survey 2003–2006 | 1.76 | 85.81 | 0.000 | |||||
Habitat_mean | 1.84 | 21.41 | 0.000 | |||||
Cattle proportion_mean | 1.82 | 9.47 | 0.001 | |||||
Power lines_mean | 1.00 | 5.17 | 0.028 | |||||