Table 2 Model results for the top fifteen models from lowest to highest AICc. The drivers tested for their influence on median migration date of Striped bass were spring ocean conditions (North Pacific Gyre Oscillation (NPGO), PDO, sea surface temperature, and upwelling index), estuarine hydrology (outflow and centroid day of outflow), estuary temperature, and sampling (upstream movement in sampling location (Slope), median river kilometer (RKm), range of days sampled (Range), and number of sites samples (# sites)). The AICc, AIC weight, adjusted R-squared and p-values are reported.
Model | AICc | wt | R2 | P-value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1. Sea surface temperature + Outflow + Slope | 272.12 | 0.32 | 0.36 | 0.0002 |
2. Sea surface temperature + Outflow + Slope + RMl | 274.78 | 0.09 | 0.35 | 0.0005 |
3. Sea surface temperature + Outflow + Slope + Range | 274.79 | 0.08 | 0.35 | 0.0005 |
4. Sea surface temperature + Outflow + Slope + # sites | 274.85 | 0.08 | 0.35 | 0.0005 |
5. Sea surface temperature + Outflow + Estuary temperature + Slope | 274.85 | 0.08 | 0.35 | 0.0005 |
6. Sea surface temperature + Outflow | 276.84 | 0.03 | 0.26 | 0.0010 |
7. Sea surface temperature + Outflow + Slope + RMl + Range | 277.29 | 0.02 | 0.33 | 0.0013 |
8. Sea surface temperature + Outflow + Number of sites | 277.49 | 0.02 | 0.28 | 0.0016 |
9. Sea surface temperature + Outflow + Slope + Range + # sites | 277.62 | 0.02 | 0.33 | 0.0014 |
10. Sea surface temperature + Outflow + Slope + RMl + # sites | 277.67 | 0.02 | 0.33 | 0.0014 |
11. Sea surface temperature + Outflow + Estuary temperature + Slope + Range | 277.67 | 0.02 | 0.33 | 0.0014 |
12. Sea surface temperature + Outflow + Estuary temperature + Slope + RMl | 277.69 | 0.02 | 0.33 | 0.0014 |
13. Sea surface temperature + Outflow + Estuary temperature + Slope + # sites | 277.74 | 0.02 | 0.33 | 0.0014 |
14. Outflow + Slope | 277.99 | 0.02 | 0.24 | 0.0018 |
15. Sea surface temperature + Outflow + Range | 278.77 | 0.01 | 0.25 | 0.0027 |
