Table 4 Relative average quadratic error and correlation coefficients for E_HV and E_H_V models, for both the versions with data fitting and with a-priori coefficients.

From: A novel methodology for epidemic risk assessment of COVID-19 outbreak

 

E_HV with data fit

E_HV a-priori

E_H_V with data fit

E_H_V a-priori

Relative quadratic error

Cases

0.15337

0.35737

0.13909

0.18283

Deceased

0.19584

0.50521

0.16712

0.33841

Intensive care

0.12579

0.28044

0.12025

0.15106

Correlation coefficient

Cases

0.98448

0.93505

0.98719

0.97991

Deceased

0.97767

0.89278

0.98387

0.95089

Intensive care

0.98823

0.94922

0.98923

0.98335