Figure 5

Relative yield change probability (1st and 3rd quartile estimate) of shifting CT to CA/NT for winter wheat, with fertilization and weed and pest control (+ F + WD). There is a 75% chance that the relative yield change will be higher than the ratio shown on the map in plot (a,c), and conversely a 25% chance that the relative change will be lower. There is a 75% chance that the relative yield change will be lower than the ratio shown on the map in plot (b,d), and conversely a 25% chance that the relative change will be higher. The colours indicate different levels of yield change ratio, and the red colour shades indicate negative yield changes or yield losses. NA indicate the non-cropping region of winter wheat and the regions without available climate data.