Figure 3
Geographical spread stochastic SEIQR Model fitted to Argentine data for \(p=0.1\) and \(\alpha =5\). (A) Daily isolated cases of infected people who were discovered, tested positive for COVID and isolated (orange lines) compared to official data (blue bars). The light blue shaded area corresponds to one standard deviation from the mean. (B) Daily infected cases in turquoise compared with official data (blue bars). Notice that infected are 10 times higher than the actual official data. (C) Time evolution of accumulated isolated cases obtained as the mean value (orange line) of 100 model runs. Light orange curves are the 100 individual numerical runs. The blue curve corresponds to official accumulated cases. (D) Time evolution of accumulated infected cases obtained as the mean value (turquoise line) of 100 model runs (lighter curves).
