Figure 9
From: A hidden Markov model for lymphatic tumor progression in the head and neck
Risk prediction for LNL III, given observed positive involvement in LNL II and negative observations in all other LNLs (assuming \(s_{N} = 81\%\) and \(s_{P} = 76\%\))35. The Binomial parameter \(p\) was fixed to \(0.4\) for parameter learning (green), representing early T-category patients. Increasing this parameter results in higher risk. The blue outline shows the risk in level III obtained for the Bayesian network model. The histograms correspond to 1% of the 200,000 samples.
