Figure 2

Historical and projected human rabies cases in Haiti, 2015–2025, and potential impact of delaying restarting dog rabies vaccination until either 2021 or 2022. *Black+’s indicate human rabies deaths detected by surveillance from 2015 to 2020. Circles (connected by solid lines) represent model estimates of detected human rabies deaths. Triangles (connected by dotted lines) represent model estimates of total human rabies deaths. We assume 10% of human rabies deaths are detected, which is consistent with estimates from other lower and middle-income countries13. Colors compare historical data and estimates for 2015–2020 (black) with model predictions if vaccination campaigns resume in 2021 (blue) or 2022 (orange).