Table 3 Results of tenfold cross-validation of Harrell’s C-index, the area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve (AUROC), Brier score for the pooled cohort equation (PCE), and our model.

From: Prediction of 8-year risk of cardiovascular diseases in Korean adult population

 

AUROC

Harrell’s C

Brier score

Men

Framingham risk score

0.728 ± 0.002

0.715 ± 0.003

0.032 ± 0.003

PCE (whites)

0.730 ± 0.002

0.715 ± 0.003

0.031 ± 0.000

PCE (African-Americans)

0.723 ± 0.002

0.710 ± 0.003

0.026 ± 0.000

Revised PCE

0.748 ± 0.002

0.737 ± 0.002

0.024 ± 0.000

Our model

0.762 ± 0.002

0.749 ± 0.002

0.018 ± 0.000

Women

Framingham risk score

0.741 ± 0.001

0.723 ± 0.002

0.013 ± 0.000

PCE (whites)

0.753 ± 0.002

0.734 ± 0.003

0.016 ± 0.000

PCE (African-Americans)

0.734 ± 0.001

0.712 ± 0.001

0.025 ± 0.000

Revised PCE

0.808 ± 0.002

0.792 ± 0.002

0.011 ± 0.000

Our model

0.811 ± 0.002

0.795 ± 0.002

0.010 ± 0.000

  1. The mean ± standard deviation.