Figure 2

Outbreak trajectory in symptomatic cases who sought for medical treatment (solid line) and in all cases (dashed lines) with 95% confidence intervals (shaded area) by scenario (a) current outbreak scenario (b) baseline scenario, (c) enhanced response and social distancing scenario, (d) modified dormitory settings scenario. Observed symptomatic cases with onset on or before 3 Apr 2020 (black dots, up to day 12 of the outbreak) were used for model fitting. Cases after 3 Apr 2020 (grey dots and lines) were plotted based notification dates if onset dates were not available and were not used for model fitting due to incomplete information on onset dates for some of the symptomatic cases.