Figure 3
From: Finding successful strategies in a complex urban sustainability game
(a) Success probability as a function of Initial Non-Linearity and Variation of Non-Linearity. Success probability of a match vs. match complexity (b) and the presence of a paradox move (c). In (c), blue bars represent the results obtained with real players data, while orange bars result from the random agent. The horizontal dashed line (blue in (b) and black in (c)) is the overall probability of success for real players. The red horizontal dashed line in (c) is the probability of success for the random agent. Error bars have been computed as the standard error for a probability f, defined as \(\sqrt{f(1-f)/n}\) where n is the size of the sample. The Paradox Move feature is defined using the experts’ survey results. (d) Success probability as a function of Duration and Average Move Time. Both these quantities are measured in seconds.
