Figure 4

(Top) Increase of the success probability as a function of the match number. (Bottom) Odds ratios of the different features for predicting a successful match, for all matches together (first column) and each specific match number (other columns). An odds ratio equal to 1 indicates that the feature is irrelevant for the classification. We set to 1 all the odds ratios we found to be statistically indistinguishable to 1, using a p-value with a threshold of 0.05. An odds ratio larger than 1 indicates a positive correlation between the feature and a successful outcome. In other words, the feature’s presence raises the success probability. Conversely, an odds ratio smaller than 1 indicates a negative correlation, i.e., the feature’s presence reduces the success probability. The Paradox Move feature is defined using the experts’ survey results. Figure S5 in SI shows the same results for the non-experts case.