Table 1 COVID-19-attributed deaths per million for the UK, Denmark and Sweden until 1st July 2020. Diagonal elements show observed mortality (black text), off-diagonal elements show mortality (median with 95% credible intervals) for counterfactual scenarios. Top red text in each row denotes counterfactuals estimated using the absolute \(R_t\) transposition approach. Bottom blue text in each row denotes counterfactuals estimated using the relative \(R_t/R_0\) transposition approach.

From: Comparing the responses of the UK, Sweden and Denmark to COVID-19 using counterfactual modelling