Figure 2

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve admissions of the indicative models on AGM at 5-year’s follow-up. The gray line represents the ROC curve of Model 1: AGM at year 5 ~ Age at year 5 + Ethnicity + BMI at year 5 + Family History of T2D + Number of GDM Episodes, R² = 0.25, AUC = 0.74; The green line represents the ROC curve of Model 2: AGM at year 5 ~ Age at year 5 + Ethnicity + BMI at year 5 + Family History of T2D + Number of GDM Episodes + Fasting and 2-h glycemic levels at study entry, R² = 0.32, AUC = 0.77; The orange line represents the ROC curve of Model 3: AGM at year 5 ~ p-cresol sulfate + linoleic acid + Glycocholic acid + LysoPC(16:1) + Age at year 5 + Ethnicity + BMI at year 5 + Family History of T2D + Number of GDM Episodes + Fasting and 2-h glycemic levels at study entry, R² = 0.70, AUC = 0.94; The blue line represents the ROC curve of Model 4: AGM at year 5 ~ p-cresol sulfate + linoleic acid + Glycocholic acid + LysoPC(20:3) + Age at year 5 + Ethnicity + BMI at year 5 + Family History of T2D + Number of GDM Episodes + Fasting and 2-h glycemic levels at study entry, R² = 0.67, AUC = 0.92.