Table 2 Key installed capacity assumptions for power sector.
From: Near and long-term perspectives on strategies to decarbonize China’s heavy-duty trucks through 2050
Unit: GW unless noted otherwise | 2015 | 2020 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | 2040 | 2045 | 2050 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Coal | 908 | 855 | 911 | 904 | 894 | 833 | 654 | 442 |
Natural gas | 66 | 110 | 136 | 161 | 194 | 225 | 258 | 294 |
Diesel | 4 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 6 |
Nuclear | 27 | 58 | 83 | 100 | 131 | 155 | 192 | 221 |
Biomass | 11 | 20 | 25 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 |
Hydro | 320 | 380 | 395 | 410 | 425 | 444 | 474 | 501 |
Solar | 42 | 269 | 299 | 383 | 675 | 1023 | 1451 | 1920 |
Wind | 131 | 260 | 397 | 482 | 774 | 1002 | 1142 | 1217 |
Geothermal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Total installed capacity | 1510 | 1963 | 2257 | 2482 | 3135 | 3725 | 4213 | 4637 |
Non-fossil % of installed capacity | 33% | 47% | 49% | 53% | 61% | 67% | 74% | 79% |
Non-fossil % of electricity generation | 24% | 42% | 43% | 45% | 53% | 60–62%* | 71–74%* | 84–90%* |
