Table 5 Performance comparison among prediction models.
Case | Accuracy | WIO-SVR | SVR | RF | M5P | REPTree |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Case 1 | RMSE (kWh) | 2.49 | 9.52 | 21.02 | 33.51 | 52.35 |
MAE (kWh) | 6.25 | 7.36 | 14.83 | 23.76 | 37.35 | |
MAPE (%) | 6.96 | 9.99 | 14.46 | 24.19 | 33.21 | |
R | 0.98 | 0.99 | 0.97 | 0.76 | 0.91 | |
Case 2 | RMSE (kWh) | 1.35 | 5.57 | 8.36 | 11.05 | 28.43 |
MAE (kWh) | 1.85 | 3.98 | 6.50 | 8.49 | 8.60 | |
MAPE (%) | 6.89 | 16.57 | 25.78 | 33.19 | 12.46 | |
R | 0.95 | 0.88 | 0.91 | 0.62 | 0.38 | |
Case 3 | RMSE (kWh) | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.36 | 0.46 | 1.21 |
MAE (kWh) | 0.10 | 0.19 | 0.25 | 0.36 | 0.70 | |
MAPE (%) | 28.70 | 57.98 | 143.96 | 127.82 | 304.43 | |
R | 0.78 | 0.56 | 0.40 | 0.36 | 0.16 | |
Case 4 | RMSE (kWh) | 1.05 | 2.08 | 3.10 | 3.51 | 6.72 |
MAE (kWh) | 1.13 | 1.47 | 2.04 | 2.58 | 4.23 | |
MAPE (%) | 16.86 | 21.83 | 25.75 | 40.25 | 46.63 | |
R | 0.91 | 0.90 | 0.92 | 0.77 | 0.88 | |
Case 5 | RMSE (kWh) | 2.18 | 18.85 | 50.47 | 47.57 | 31.32 |
MAE (kWh) | 4.85 | 12.02 | 31.77 | 27.18 | 20.31 | |
MAPE (%) | 10.87 | 24.83 | 67.22 | 58.59 | 49.00 | |
R | 0.89 | 0.84 | 0.84 | 0.67 | 0.78 | |
Case 6 | RMSE (kWh) | 2.06 | 2.42 | 4.65 | 4.18 | 5.89 |
MAE (kWh) | 4.41 | 1.65 | 3.01 | 2.59 | 3.96 | |
MAPE (%) | 12.04 | 28.28 | 59.01 | 48.95 | 83.55 | |
R | 0.85 | 0.74 | 0.66 | 0.62 | 0.59 | |
Case 7 | RMSE (kWh) | 1.00 | 1.59 | 1.47 | 1.77 | 3.63 |
MAE (kWh) | 1.00 | 1.28 | 1.06 | 1.35 | 2.98 | |
MAPE (%) | 20.40 | 40.10 | 25.42 | 39.90 | 143.88 | |
R | 0.90 | 0.91 | 0.92 | 0.89 | 0.55 | |
Case 8 | RMSE (kWh) | 3.14 | 24.99 | 35.52 | 24.48 | 47.49 |
MAE (kWh) | 9.91 | 17.53 | 25.89 | 17.21 | 33.82 | |
MAPE (%) | 32.10 | 48.01 | 67.35 | 51.23 | 80.77 | |
R | 0.92 | 0.94 | 0.92 | 0.87 | 0.92 | |
Case 9 | RMSE (kWh) | 3.52 | 28.87 | 28.24 | 35.95 | 43.18 |
MAE (kWh) | 12.44 | 17.66 | 18.15 | 24.32 | 27.99 | |
MAPE (%) | 13.26 | 17.68 | 18.84 | 25.37 | 35.26 | |
R | 0.91 | 0.80 | 0.84 | 0.68 | 0.71 | |
Case 10 | RMSE (kWh) | 0.90 | 1.48 | 5.53 | 3.83 | 7.03 |
MAE (kWh) | 0.89 | 0.95 | 3.91 | 2.65 | 4.42 | |
MAPE (%) | 15.18 | 18.43 | 71.49 | 43.76 | 62.80 | |
R | 0.83 | 0.91 | 0.88 | 0.88 | 0.94 | |
Case 11 | RMSE (kWh) | 3.63 | 19.36 | 17.43 | 21.78 | 36.77 |
MAE (kWh) | 13.20 | 14.38 | 14.40 | 17.13 | 30.68 | |
MAPE (%) | 9.77 | 9.55 | 11.89 | 12.88 | 27.07 | |
R | 0.92 | 0.92 | 0.95 | 0.88 | 0.68 | |
Case 12 | RMSE (kWh) | 2.63 | 16.42 | 19.12 | 24.73 | 53.22 |
MAE (kWh) | 7.01 | 12.13 | 14.12 | 19.89 | 38.21 | |
MAPE (%) | 12.88 | 21.04 | 25.22 | 37.36 | 64.93 | |
R | 0.92 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 0.88 | 0.80 |