Figure 3
Number of days needed before a return to normal can be implemented without exceeding predefined hospitalization limits. The number of days is counted beginning 03/01/21. Continuous lines illustrate counts when models are not affected by variants. Dashed lines illustrate counts when models are affected by a variant whose effect is to double the transmission rate on 12/21/21. (Top row) Number of days to \(u = 1\). (Center row:) Number of days to \(u=0.8\). (Bottom row) Estimated number of deaths between 03/01/21, and 08/01/2021. All simulations are conducted by using a single-compartment model fitted using data from the state of Colorado, USA (see “Methods” section). Any vaccination uptake of \(70\%\) or larger yields an identical (dark green) curve.
