Table 2 Final multivariate model for global COVID-19 mortality adjusted for response measures.
From: Global ecological analysis of COVID-19 mortality and comparison between “the East” and “the West”
Final model | Correction for spatial autocorrelation | |
|---|---|---|
b (95% CI) p-value | b (95% CI) p-value | |
Constant | 1.963 (1.871–2.055) p < 0.001 | 1.963 (1.869–2.057) p < 0.001 |
Median age (years) | 0.370 (0.238–0.501) p < 0.001 | 0.370 (0.145–0.594) p = 0.004 |
Obesity prevalence (%) | 0.358 (0.260–0.455) p < 0.001 | 0.358 (0.189–0.526) p < 0.001 |
Previous cases of SARS (‘Yes’) | −0.311 (−0.552–−0.069) p = 0.012 | −0.311 (−0.712 to 0.090) p = 0.118 |
EIU democracy index (0–10) | 0.353 (0.232 to 0.475) p < 0.001 | 0.353 (0.147 to 0.560) p = 0.003 |
Political Stability and Absence of Violence (%) | −0.297 (−0.428 to −0.166) p < 0.001 | −0.297 (−0.481 to −0.113) p = 0.004 |
Average stringency index (%) | 0.160 (0.052 to 0.268) p = 0.004 | 0.160 (0.035 to 0.285) p = 0.016 |
Timeliness of stay−at−home requirements (days) | −0.035 (−0.129 to 0.059) p = 0.458 | −0.035 (−0.155 to 0.085) p = 0.537 |
Model statistics | ||
Observations | 133 | |
R2 | 0.686 | |
Adjusted R2 | 0.669 | |
Residual SE | 0.476 | |
F statistic (df) | 39.05 (7, 125) | 123.60 (7, 13) |
p−value | p < 0.001 | |
AIC | 187.79 | |
Sample−size adj. BIC | 210.91 | |
