Table 1 Age-standardized and age-specific oral cancer incidence per 100,000 population (observed rates in 2017 and projected rates for 2025) and projected percentage changes from 2018 to 2025.

From: Forecast of peak attainment and imminent decline after 2017 of oral cancer incidence in men in Taiwan

 

Incidence in 2017 per 100,000 population

Projected incidence in 2025 per 100,000 population [95% Uncertainty Interval]

Projected percentage change from 2018 [95% Uncertainty Interval]

Age-standardized rates#

72.05

65.98 [60.36, 75.49]

− 8.42 [− 16.21, 4.78]

Age-specific rates

 Age 25–29

2.27

0.97 [0.80, 1.19]

− 57.32 [− 64.89, − 47.71]

 Age 30–34

7.85

5.92 [5.28, 6.72]

− 24.66 [− 32.79, − 14.51]

 Age 35–39

24.58

20.63 [19.24, 22.53]

− 16.05 [− 21.73, − 8.34]

 Age 40–44

63.86

47.39 [45.17, 50.93]

− 25.78 [− 29.26, − 20.25]

 Age 45–49

104.74

81.60 [77.83, 88.18]

− 22.09 [− 25.69, − 15.81]

 Age 50–54

132.40

113.10 [106.74, 124.25]

− 14.57 [− 19.38, − 6.15]

 Age 55–59

150.77

133.43 [123.84, 150.01]

− 11.50 [− 17.86, − 0.50]

 Age 60–64

140.67

141.42 [128.47, 163.60]

0.53 [− 8.68, 16.30]

 Age 65–69

130.79

140.66 [124.42, 168.38]

7.55 [− 4.87, 28.74]

 Age 70–74

107.56

132.79 [113.90, 165.02]

23.45 [5.89, 53.41]

 Age 75–79

99.43

118.81 [99.05, 152.85]

19.49 [− 0.39, 53.73]

 Age 80–84

73.54

100.59 [80.77, 134.50]

36.79 [9.83, 82.90]

  1. #The World Health Organization 2000 World Standard Population was used to compute the truncated age-standardized incidence rates (age 25–84 years), see Table S6.