Figure 2

Forecasted and observed effects by nudge conditions and political party of nudgee. Note: Predicted (dot) and observed (cross) effect sizes (Cohenās d) for the seven nudge predictions, differentiated by color for forecasts regarding Republican (red) and Democrat (blue) nudgees. The top panel includes the full sample of forecasters while the bottom panel shows effect sizes separately for academic and practitioner forecasters. Error bars represent the 95% confidence interval. āUSAā indicates the āPatriotic dutyā nudge; āEconomyā indicates the āReviving the Economyā nudge; āSelfā indicates the āProtection from Harm (Self)ā nudge; āCommunityā indicates the āProtection from Harm (Community)ā nudge; āScienceā indicates the āScientific evidenceā nudge.