Table 2 Results for effectiveness of travel policy coordination in scenarios S1 through S6 for synthetic data. Shown are 2.5th and 97.5th percentiles of travel effects and health outcomes for scenarios S1 through S6 using estimated epidemiological parameters to simulate epidemic and travel data. G denotes all countries. See Table 1 caption for more information.

From: Framework for assessing and easing global COVID-19 travel restrictions

 

S1

S2

S3

S4

S5

S6

G

RU

(10.68, 11.56)

(2.65, 3.06)

(4.02, 4.51)

(2.66, 3.07)

(3.45, 3.92)

(2.66, 3.07)

RA

(8.13, 8.89)

(2.77, 3.13)

(4.92, 5.43)

(2.77, 3.14)

(4.08, 4.55)

(2.77, 3.13)

IA

(1.57, 1.68)

(0.00, 0.00)

(1.57, 1.68)

(0.00, 0.01)

(0.80, 0.85)

(0.00, 0.00)

Tc

100\(\%\)

0\(\%\)

100\(\%\)

50\(\%\)

50\(\%\)

25\(\%\)

Te

100\(\%\)

0\(\%\)

5\(\%\)

50\(\%\)

3\(\%\)

25\(\%\)

G1

RU

(11.16, 12.23)

(0.59, 0.93)

(3.17, 3.61)

(0.60, 0.94)

(1.84, 2.22)

(0.59, 0.93)

RA

(9.01, 9.95)

(0.74, 1.06)

(4.42, 4.90)

(0.75, 1.08)

(2.52, 2.91)

(0.75, 1.07)

IA

(1.98, 2.09)

(0.00, 0.00)

(1.98, 2.10)

(0.00, 0.01)

(1.00, 1.04)

(0.00, 0,00)

Tc

100\(\%\)

0\(\%\)

100\(\%\)

64\(\%\)

50\(\%\)

32\(\%\)

Te

100\(\%\)

0\(\%\)

5\(\%\)

64\(\%\)

3\(\%\)

32\(\%\)

G2

RU

(12.13, 13.29)

(1.54, 2.13)

(2.98, 3.68)

(1.54, 2.13)

(2.50, 3.19)

(1.54, 2.13)

RA

(8.14, 9.14)

(1.62, 2.13)

(4.08, 4.81)

(1.62, 2.13)

(3.33, 4.04)

(1.62, 2.13)

IA

(1.77, 1.89)

(0.00, 0.00)

(1.77, 1.89)

(0.00, 0.01)

(0.89, 0.95)

(0.00, 0.00)

Tc

100\(\%\)

0\(\%\)

100\(\%\)

64\(\%\)

50\(\%\)

32\(\%\)

Te

100\(\%\)

0\(\%\)

5\(\%\)

64\(\%\)

3\(\%\)

32\(\%\)

G3

RU

(7.31, 7.45)

(6.94, 7.08)

(6.94, 7.08)

(6.94, 7.08)

(6.95, 7.08)

(6.94, 7.08)

RA

(7.25, 7.35)

(7.10, 7.20)

(7.12, 7.22)

(7.10, 7.20)

(7.11, 7.21)

(7.10, 7.20)

IA

(0.77, 0.82)

(0.00, 0.00)

(0.77, 0.82)

(0.00, 0.00)

(0.42, 0.45)

(0.00, 0.00)

Tc

100\(\%\)

0\(\%\)

100\(\%\)

7\(\%\)

50\(\%\)

3\(\%\)

Te

100\(\%\)

0\(\%\)

5\(\%\)

7\(\%\)

3\(\%\)

3\(\%\)