Table 1 Comparison of observed and simulated adult emergence time and the total number of adults produced. Simulation output is given in terms of the median and \(90\%\) range.

From: A dynamically structured matrix population model for insect life histories observed under variable environmental conditions

 

Adult emergence

Adult production

Id

Date

Simulation

Observation

Difference

Simulation

Observation

Difference

E1**

2017-03-16

0.00 (0.00–0.00)

E2

2017-03-23

0.00 (0.00–0.00)

E3**

2017-05-09

23.50 (22.00–24.52)

26.00

2.50

9.76 (6.51–13.84)

5.00

− 4.76

E4

2017-06-12

15.00 (14.25–15.75)

13.00

− 2.00

29.21 (26.65–32.26)

39.00

9.79

E5

2017-06-12

15.00 (14.25–15.75)

14.00

− 1.00

18.53 (16.90–20.46)

9.00

− 9.53

E6**

2017-06-12

15.00 (14.25–15.75)

15.00*

0.00

32.06 (29.25–35.40)

37.00

4.94

E7

2017-07-07

14.50 (13.50–15.75)

19.16 (13.12–22.56)

E8**

2017-07-11

15.25 (14.24–16.25)

19.00

3.75

7.17 (5.95–8.60)

10.00

2.83

E9

2017-07-11

15.25 (14.24–16.25)

16.00*

0.75

13.89 (11.52–16.65)

4.00

− 9.89

E10

2017-07-11

15.25 (14.24–16.25)

18.00

2.75

5.82 (4.83–6.98)

6.00*

0.18

E11

2017-08-04

14.25 (13.00–15.50)

13.00*

− 1.25

8.10 (4.67–10.67)

19.00

10.90

E12

2017-08-04

14.25 (13.00–15.50)

11.00

− 3.25

10.04 (5.80–13.24)

2.00

− 8.04

E13**

2017-08-06

16.00 (13.74–17.25)

13.00

− 3.00

25.11 (18.18–31.03)

17.00

− 8.11

E14**

2017-08-25

39.25 (32.25–41.60)

45.00

5.75

5.86 (4.55–7.23)

11.00

5.14

E15

2017-08-28

46.25 (44.20–49.25)

41.00

− 5.25

2.86 (2.03–3.79)

3.00*

0.14

E16**

2017-08-28

46.25 (44.20–49.25)

42.00

− 4.25

5.96 (4.24–7.90)

6.00*

0.04

  1. *Observation within range
  2. **Used for model calibration.