Table 3 Comparison of model accuracy for models that predicted the cumulative number of death due to COVID-19 in Sweden during 2020.

From: Computational models predicting the early development of the COVID-19 pandemic in Sweden: systematic review, data synthesis, and secondary validation of accuracy

Study

Prediction accuracy (MAPE) (%)

Length of prediction/length of calibration

4. Bryant et al

18

1.67

45. ECDC

23

0.59

46. ECDC

43

0.18

1b. Sjödin et al

49

1.26

30. Soubeyrand et al

390

0.37