Table 14 Direct, indirect, and total effects of air pollutants after fitting SAR models on COVID-19 related mortality (on 30 November 2020).

From: Assessing the impact of long-term exposure to nine outdoor air pollutants on COVID-19 spatial spread and related mortality in 107 Italian provinces

Mortality

NO2

O3

PM2.5

PM10

Benzene

BaP

As

Cd

Ni

50 km cut-off

Direct

2.3269*

2.1134***

2.6286

4.5615**

7.2183

− 53.23**

40.967**

8.0853

− 1.6735

Indirect

1.0979*

0.7499***

1.2263

1.9812**

3.1039

− 12.499*

4.295

1.0438

− 0.2199

Total

3.4248*

2.8633***

3.8549

6.5428**

10.3222

− 65.73**

45.262**

9.1291

− 1.8934

75 km cut-off

Direct

1.7172

2.0314***

4.5455**

4.4158***

9.2222

− 60.233**

33.386**

7.887

2.0672

Indirect

3.7215

3.1054***

7.0176**

8.9492**

15.269

− 45.629*

15.144*

4.187

1.1182

Total

5.4387

5.1368***

11.5631**

13.365**

24.491

− 105.86**

48.529**

12.074

3.1854

100 km cut-off

Direct

1.6667

1.736***

4.8023***

4.3457***

6.2353

− 54.388**

33.805**

7.6199

5.7642

Indirect

5.747

4.0897***

13.174**

13.92**

17.376

− 78.399*

33.985*

8.6825

7.2964

Total

7.4138

5.8258***

17.977**

18.266**

23.611

− 132.79*

67.79**

16.302

13.061

No cut-off

Direct

3.0365**

2.6732***

5.9807**

6.9644***

17.531

− 56.517*

44.895***

4.1072

2.5805

Indirect

47.926

32.356

89.77

107.51

244.88

− 433.78

298.83

28.476

18.689

Total

50.962

35.029

95.75

114.47

262.41

− 490.302

343.72

32.584

21.27

  1. p-value < 0.01***; p-value < 0.05**; p-value < 0.1*.