Table 3 Likelihood of population extinction (E; year 10), and quasi-extinction (QE; mean abundance ≤ 5 adult females) at year 10 and 30 from 10,000 simulations for a population in slight decline (recruitment = 0.30; survivorship = 0.85; with λ ~ 0.97).
Abundance | LCLλ | Meanλ | UCLλ | E(10) | QE(10) | QE(30) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 0.40 | 0.94 | 1.40 | 0.13 | 0.44 | 0.74 |
25 | 0.60 | 0.97 | 1.33 | 0.01 | 0.10 | 0.46 |
50 | 0.66 | 0.97 | 1.28 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.25 |
100 | 0.68 | 0.97 | 1.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
250 | 0.70 | 0.98 | 1.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.09 |
