Figure 7

The health effect \(E_{SD}\) is shown as the difference between health losses resulting from the null intervention without social distancing (red curve) and health losses averted by a social distancing intervention (blue curve). Period-wise health effect: \(E_{SD} = \sum _{t=0}^N \left[ L(s^0_t,a^0) - L(s_t,a_t) \right]\).