Figure 6

Predicted ITS2 pairwise genetic distance as a function of the spatial distance and spatial proximity variables taken together (A) and potential tiger mosquito flux (B) in the zero-inflated beta regression Model 6. Panel A shows predictions for the range of inter-point distances in the modelled data (0–940 km), holding potential mosquito flux at its observed median, setting the sampling years to 2011 and 2015, and arbitrarily selecting a sample pair and its associated provinces for purposes of the model’s random intercepts. The inset plot in this panel shows a close-up of the predictions at very small distances (0–10 m). Panel B shows predictions for the range of mosquito fluxes in the modelled data (0–672 km), holding inter-point distance at its median, setting the sampling years to 2011 and 2015, and arbitrarily selecting a sample pair and its associated provinces.