Table 1 End-of-century projected changes of present-day atmospheric conditions over the Gulf by the IPCC AR6 CMIP6 models.

From: Long-term, basin-scale salinity impacts from desalination in the Arabian/Persian Gulf

 

Wind speed

Precipitation

Air temperature

SSP1-2.6

− 2%

+ 5%(*)

+ 1.3 C

SSP5-8.5

− 5%

+ 25%(*)

+ 4.7 C

  1. Two of the five IPCC scenarios reported here: SSP1-2.6 (sustainability) and SSP5-8.5 (fossil-fueled development) correspond, respectively, to a pervasive, world-wide curbing of GHG emission, and to continuing world-wide economic growth driven by an ever-increasing consumption of fossil fuels. (*) Individual CMIP6 models show a substantial and conflicting variability in precipitation change estimates.
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