Table 4 Performance of the two Risk Prediction Models in the Research Cohort.
Performance parameter | Risk threshold, % | Model | Comparison | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Baseline | MRI | MRI vs baseline | ||
AUC (95% Cl) TPR, % (95% Cl) | NA | 78 (62–85) | 86 (75–94) | 8 (1 to 32)a |
10 | 99 (85–98) | 85 (78–96) | -14 (-20 to 11) | |
15 | 84 (78–98) | 80 (72–96) | -4 (-9 to 1) | |
20 | 86 (74–98) | 81 (61–90) | -5 (-10 to 2) | |
FPR, % (95% Cl) | 10 | 74 (28–94) | 52 (14–60) | -22 (-39 to -8) |
15 | 58 (23–83) | 41 (11–44) | -17 (-25 to 4) | |
20 | 44 (14–62) | 32 (10–40) | -12 (-29 to -1) | |
NB, % (95% Cl) | 10 | 15 (11–24) | 24 (13–34) | 9 (-2 to 13) |
15 | 20 (13–32) | 25 (15–36) | 5 (-8 to 20) | |
20 | 18 (9–30) | 20 (12–32) | 2 (0 to 5) | |
NRFP, % (95% Cl) | 10 | 7 (0–12) | -1 (-4–8) | -8 (-14 to 3) |
15 | 13 (0–23) | 8 (0–15) | -5 (-9 to 19) | |
20 | 14 (2–30) | 30 (0–50) | 16 (8 to 26) | |
PABF, % (95% Cl) | 10 | 60 (52–80) | 80 (70–90) | 20 (14 to 27) |
15 | 50 (41–82) | 67 (61–93) | 17 (9 to 27) | |
20 | 57 (38–80) | 69 (55–92) | 12 (0 to 25) | |