Figure 4

Schematic overview of the modeling framework for a selection of departments in France. We model the adaptation and migration decisions of spatially explicit households residing in the coastal 1/100-year flood zone of 2080 in all of France based on expected utility theory (Floodplain). Migration flows between all inland nodes and toward coastal nodes (representing the households in flood zones) are simulated using a gravity-based model. Households moving from inland nodes toward the coast are made spatially explicit based on a suitability map generated using travel time to the urban area and distance to the coast. Note that, for clarity, only a part of France is shown, and not all linking arrows are drawn in this figure. This figure was generated using QGIS 3.22.13 (QGIS Association: https://qgis.org/).