Figure 1
From: Priority age targets for COVID-19 vaccination in Ethiopia under limited vaccine supply
(A) Comparison between the age distribution of all confirmed cases reported between March and September 2020 in the Oromia Region38 and the age distribution of the cumulative infections as obtained with a model mimicking the school closure and the achievement of immunity levels estimated for the Jimma Zone in March 202137. Aggregated model estimates for the entire SWSZ are obtained by considering the proportion of population living in remote settlements, rural villages, and urban neighborhoods of the SWSZ, their age structure, and the age-specific infection attack rate expected across the different social contexts before March 202112. (B) Model estimates of the age-specific percentage of the population immune to SARS-CoV-2 after natural infection at the beginning of the vaccination campaign (March 2021) in urban, rural, and remote areas of the SWSZ. Colored bars represent average estimates; solid lines represent the 95% PI of model estimates.
