Table 2 Log-scale posterior median effect sizes and Bayesian credible intervals of a multiscale integrated point process model for breeding piping plovers.
Parameter | 2.5% | 50.0% | 97.5% |
|---|---|---|---|
Ecological model | |||
Intercept | − 1.91 | − 1.90 | − 1.88 |
Slope | − 0.42 | − 0.40 | − 0.39 |
NDVI | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.09 |
NDVI2 | − 0.23 | − 0.22 | − 0.21 |
Crop and hay pasture | − 0.54 | − 0.52 | − 0.49 |
Percent surface water | 2.22 | 2.24 | 2.27 |
Percent surface water2 | − 0.40 | − 0.39 | − 0.38 |
Dist. to lake (exponential) | − 9.44 | − 9.40 | − 9.37 |
Settlement (> 1 km from settlements = 1, < 1 km from settlements = 0) | 0.15 | 0.18 | 0.20 |
Road (> 100 m from roads = 1, < 100 m from roads = 0) | 0.61 | 0.64 | 0.67 |
eBird observation model | |||
Effort distance | − 0.08 | 0.02 | 0.10 |
Effort duration | − 0.06 | 0.04 | 0.05 |
Road density | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.22 |