Table 4 Models related to independent variables, along with coefficients and goodness of fit criteria.

From: Factors affecting the number of road traffic accidents in Kerman province, southeastern Iran (2015–2021)

Explanatory variables

Model

AR1

MA1

MA2

SAR1

SMA1

BIC

AIC

AICc

Loss of control

(0,1,2)

− 0.27

− 0.47

614.21

607.78

607.42

Brake failure

(1,0,1)

0.94

− 0.44

653.99

645.48

644.89

Accidents with Passenger cars

(1,0,1)

0.97

− 0.62

587.49

578.38

578.98

Accidents with heavy vehicles

(1,0,1)

0.91

− 0.67

125.92

116.81

117.41

Accidents with pickup cars

(1,0,2)

0.97

− 0.41

− 0.28

119.87

108.49

109.42

Accidents with motorcycles

(1,0,0)

0.54

530.63

523.81

524.15

Inattention to forward direction

(1,0,0)

0.75

538.92

532.44

532.09

Unauthorized speed

(1,0,1)

− 0.61

− 0.62

475.96

467.45

466.85

Average humidity

(1,0,1)

0.99

− 0.96

− 0.92

− 378.57

− 386.95

− 386.22

Average temperature

(0,1,1)

− 0.44

− 0.61

230.17

223.94

224.38

  1. AR1 first order autoregressive, MA1 first order moving average, MA2 second order moving average, SAR1 first order seasonal autoregressive, SMA1 first order seasonal moving average, BIC Bayesian information criteria, AIC Akaike information criteria, AICc Akaike information criteria, corrected.