Table 2 Sensitivity (95% CI), Specificity(95% CI), PPV(95% CI) NPV(95% CI) of code lists for child maltreatment included sensitivity analysis of additional and exclusion of categories of indicative/at-risk codes in primary care.
Sensitivity | Specificity | PPVa | NPVa | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Time 1b | Time 2c | Time 1b | Time 2c | Time 1b | Time 2c | Time 1b | Time 2c | |
Confirmed CMd prevalencee | 43.0 (38.9–47.3) | 54.1 (49.8–58.3) | 91.3 (89.9–92.6) | 87.7 (86.0–89.2) | 82.7 (80.9–84.4) | 85.1 (83.3–86.7) | 82.7 (80.9–84.4) | 85.1 (83.3–86.7) |
Confirmed CMd incidencef | 39.4 (35.3–43.6) | 51.4 (47.1–55.6) | 92.0 (90.6–93.2) | 88.1 (86.5–89.6) | 62.3 (57.0–67.3) | 59.2 (54.6–63.6) | 81.9 (80.1–83.7) | 84.4 (82.6–86.1) |
Confirmed CMg + ‘child protection’ codes removed | 19.2 (16.0–22.8) | 31.1 (27.3–35.2) | 96.4 (95.4–97.2) | 93.4 (92.1–94.5) | 64.2 (56.4–71.4) | 61.2 (55.2–66.9) | 78.1 (76.2–79.9) | 80.2 (78.3–81.9) |
Confirmed CMg + ‘at risk' | 44.8 (40.7–49.1) | 55.5 (51.3–59.7) | 91.1 (89.6–92.4) | 87.4 (85.7–89.0) | 62.8 (57.8–67.5) | 59.6 (55.2–63.9) | 83.1 (81.3–84.8) | 85.4 (83.7–87.1) |
Confirmed CMg + ‘family circumstances' | 45.0 (40.8–49.3) | 58.2 (54.0–62.4) | 91.0 (89.5–92.3) | 86.8 (85.1–88.4) | 62.6 (57.6–67.3) | 59.6 (55.3–63.8) | 83.2 (81.4–84.9) | 86.1 (84.4–87.7) |
Confirmed CMg + ‘other social careh’ | 54.6 (50.4–58.8) | 66.4 (62.2–70.3) | 89.5 (87.9–90.9) | 86.0 (84.2–87.6) | 63.4 (58.9–67.7) | 61.3 (57.2–65.2) | 85.5 (83.7–87.1) | 88.4 (86.7–89.9) |
Confirmed CMg + ‘suspected/alleged maltreatment’ | 43.2 (39.1–47.5) | 54.2 (50.0–58.4) | 91.3 (89.9–92.6) | 87.7 (86.0–89.2) | 62.6 (57.5–67.4) | 59.6 (55.2–63.9) | 82.8 (80.9–84.5) | 85.1 (83.3–86.8) |
Confirmed CMg + ‘rib/limb fractures’ | 43.4 (39.2–47.7) | 54.4 (50.2–58.6) | 91.3 (89.9–92.6) | 87.7 (86.0–89.2) | 62.7 (57.6–67.5) | 59.7 (55.3–64.0) | 82.8 (81.0–84.5) | 85.2 (83.4–86.8) |
Confirmed CMg + ‘assaults’ | 48.6 (44.4–52.9) | 58.8 (54.5–62.9) | 91.2 (89.7–92.5) | 87.4 (85.7–89.0) | 25.1 (23.3–27.0) | 25.1 (23.3–27.0) | 65.0 (60.1–69.5) | 61.0 (56.7–65.1) |
Confirmed CMg + all possible CM codes | 61.1 (56.9–65.2) | 71.8 (67.8–75.5) | 89.0 (87.3–90.4) | 85.0 (83.2–86.7) | 25.1 (23.3–27.0) | 25.1 (23.3–27.0) | 65.0 (60.7–69.1) | 61.6 (57.7–65.3) |