Table 5 GP Events, incidencea per 1000 PYAR (95% CI), IRRb (95% CI)c of confirmed CM and possible CM by year, sex, age group and deprivation quintile.
Variable | Confirmed CM | Possible CM | Confirmed and possible CM | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Events | Incidence (95% CI) | IRR (95% CI) | Events | Incidence (95% CI) | IRR (95% CI) | Events | Incidence (95% CI) | IRR (95% CI) | ||
Year | 2004 | 1429 | 3.1 (3.0–3.3) | Reference (p < 0.001) | 2507 | 5.5 (5.3–5.7) | Reference (p < 0.001) | 3570 | 7.8 (7.6–8.1) | Reference (p < 0.001) |
2005 | 1355 | 2.9 (2.8–3.1) | 0.9 (0.8–1.1) | 2809 | 6.1 (5.9–6.3) | 1.1 (1.0–1.3) | 3689 | 8.0 (7.7–8.2) | 1.0 (0.9–1.1) | |
2006 | 1639 | 3.5 (3.4–3.7) | 1.1 (1.0–1.3) | 3262 | 7.0 (6.8–7.3) | 1.3 (1.1–1.4) | 4279 | 9.2 (8.9–9.5) | 1.2 (1.0–1.3) | |
2007 | 1726 | 3.7 (3.5–3.9) | 1.2 (1.0–1.3) | 3502 | 7.6 (7.3–7.8) | 1.4 (1.2–1.5) | 4570 | 9.9 (9.6–10.1) | 1.2 (1.1–1.4) | |
2008 | 1815 | 3.9 (3.7–4.1) | 1.2 (1.1–1.4) | 3861 | 8.3 (8.0–8.5) | 1.5 (1.3–1.6) | 5004 | 10.7 (10.4–11.0) | 1.3 (1.2–1.5) | |
2009 | 2013 | 4.3 (4.1–4.5) | 1.3 (1.2–1.5) | 4317 | 9.2 (9.0–9.5) | 1.6 (1.5–1.8) | 5473 | 11.7 (11.4–12.0) | 1.5 (1.3–1.6) | |
2010 | 2071 | 4.5 (4.3–4.7) | 1.4 (1.2–1.5) | 4594 | 9.9 (9.6–10.2) | 1.7 (1.5–1.9) | 5834 | 12.6 (12.2–12.9) | 1.5 (1.4–1.7) | |
2011 | 2245 | 4.8 (4.6–5.0) | 1.5 (1.3–1.7) | 4706 | 10.1 (9.9–10.4) | 1.8 (1.6–2.0) | 6038 | 13.0 (12.7–13.3) | 1.6 (1.4–1.8) | |
2012 | 2481 | 5.3 (5.1–5.5) | 1.6 (1.4–1.8) | 5190 | 11.2 (10.9–11.5) | 1.9 (1.7–2.2) | 6604 | 14.2 (13.9–14.5) | 1.7 (1.6–1.9) | |
2013 | 2188 | 4.7 (4.5–4.9) | 1.4 (1.3–1.6) | 4944 | 10.6 (10.3–10.9) | 1.9 (1.7–2.1) | 6181 | 13.3 (13.0–13.6) | 1.6 (1.5–1.8) | |
2014 | 2493 | 5.3 (5.1–5.5) | 1.6 (1.4–1.9) | 5331 | 11.4 (11.1–11.7) | 2.0 (1.8–2.2) | 6699 | 14.3 (14.0–14.7) | 1.8 (1.6–2.0) | |
2015 | 2580 | 5.5 (5.3–5.7) | 1.7 (1.5–1.9) | 5326 | 11.3 (11.0–11.6) | 2.0 (1.8–2.2) | 6748 | 14.4 (14.0–14.7) | 1.8 (1.6–2.0) | |
2016 | 2484 | 5.3 (5.1–5.5) | 1.6 (1.4–1.8) | 5591 | 11.9 (11.5–12.2) | 2.1 (1.8–2.3) | 6976 | 14.8 (14.4–15.1) | 1.8 (1.6–2.0) | |
2017 | 2437 | 5.1 (4.9–5.3) | 1.5 (1.3–1.8) | 5514 | 11.6 (11.3–11.9) | 2.0 (1.8–2.3) | 6894 | 14.5 (14.2–14.9) | 1.8 (1.6–2.0) | |
2018 | 2180 | 4.6 (4.5–4.8) | 1.4 (1.2–1.6) | 5201 | 11.1 (10.8–11.4) | 1.9 (1.7–2.2) | 6468 | 13.8 (13.5–14.1) | 1.7 (1.5–1.9) | |
2019 | 2050 | 4.3 (4.2–4.5) | 1.3 (1.1–1.5) | 5153 | 10.9 (10.6–11.2) | 1.9 (1.7–2.1) | 6429 | 13.6 (13.3–13.9) | 1.6 (1.5–1.9) | |
2020d | 1192 | 3.5 (3.3–3.7) | 1.1 (1.0–1.3) | 2272 | 6.6 (6.4–6.9) | 1.2 (1.1–1.4) | 3033 | 8.8 (8.5–9.2) | 1.2 (1.0–1.3) | |
Gender | Male | 17,257 | 4.3 (4.2–4.4) | Reference (p = 0.037) | 38,580 | 9.6 (9.5–9.7) | Reference (p = 0.22) | 48,775 | 12.2 (12.1–12.3) | Reference (p = 0.333) |
Female | 17,121 | 4.5 (4.4–4.6) | 1.0 (1.0–1.1) | 35,500 | 9.3 (9.2–9.4) | 1.0 (0.9–1.0) | 45,714 | 12.0 (11.9–12.1) | 1.0 (1.0–1.0) | |
Age group | 15–17 years | 3044 | 2.6 (2.5–2.7) | Reference (p < 0.001) | 7810 | 29.2 (28.8–29.7) | Reference (p < 0.001) | 10,006 | 8.6 (8.4–8.8) | Reference (p < 0.001) |
10–14 years | 7157 | 3.2 (3.1–3.3) | 1.2 (1.1–1.4) | 15,704 | 11.1 (10.9–11.2) | 1.0 (1.0–1.1) | 19,868 | 8.9 (8.8–9.0) | 1.0 (1.0–1.1) | |
5–9 years | 8389 | 3.9 (3.8–4.0) | 1.4 (1.3–1.6) | 14,688 | 6.8 (6.7–6.9) | 1.0 (0.9–1.0) | 19,589 | 9.1 (8.9–9.2) | 1.0 (1.0–1.1) | |
1–4 years | 8842 | 5.4 (5.3–5.5) | 1.9 (1.7–2.2) | 18,189 | 7.0 (6.9–7.1) | 1.6 (1.5–1.6) | 23,214 | 14.1 (14.0–14.3) | 1.6 (1.5–1.7) | |
< 1 years | 6946 | 11.5 (11.2–11.7) | 3.5 (3.1–3.9) | 17,689 | 6.7 (6.6–6.9) | 3.5 (3.3–3.7) | 21,812 | 36.0 (35.6–36.5) | 3.3 (3.1–3.5) | |
Deprivation | Least deprived | 1895 | 1.3 (1.3–1.4) | Reference (p < 0.001) | 6745 | 4.7 (4.6–4.8) | Reference (p < 0.001) | 8015 | 5.6 (5.5–5.7) | Reference (p < 0.001) |
2 | 2955 | 2.4 (2.3–2.5) | 1.8 (1.6–2.0) | 7873 | 6.5 (6.3–6.6) | 1.4 (1.3–1.4) | 9697 | 8.0 (7.8–8.1) | 1.4 (1.3–1.5) | |
3 | 4551 | 3.2 (3.1–3.3) | 2.4 (2.2–2.6) | 10,355 | 7.3 (7.2–7.5) | 1.5 (1.5–1.6) | 12,990 | 9.2 (9.0–9.4) | 1.6 (1.5–1.7) | |
4 | 7146 | 4.6 (4.5–4.7) | 3.4 (3.1–3.7) | 14,603 | 9.5 (9.3–9.6) | 1.9 (1.9–2.0) | 18,759 | 12.2 (12.0–12.4) | 2.1 (2.0–2.2) | |
Most deprived | 13,489 | 7.5 (7.4–7.6) | 5.4 (5.0–5.9) | 23,751 | 13.2 (13.0–13.3) | 2.7 (2.6–2.8) | 31,468 | 17.5 (17.3–17.7) | 3.0 (2.9–3.1) | |
Unknown | 4342 | 10.6 (10.3–10.9) | 4.7 (4.2–5.2) | 10,753 | 26.3 (25.8–26.8) | 2.8 (2.6–3.0) | 13,560 | 33.1 (32.6–33.7) | 3.1 (2.9–3.3) | |