Table 2 The continuous ranked probability score (CRPS) calculated for each prediction window.

From: Dynamic calibration with approximate Bayesian computation for a microsimulation of disease spread

Window

CRPS

Days

Normalised CRPS

2

485

14

129

3

525

28

99

4

681

42

105

5

778

56

104

6

792

70

95

7

749

84

82

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