Table 2 Changes in the coverage (km2) of suitable areas for Phelypaea tournefortii estimated by the models using only bioclimatic variables (bioclims) and using the host’s models as variables (bioclims + host).
SSPs | Scenario | Range expansion | Range contraction | Overall change | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Phelypaea tournefortii (bioclims only) | Phelypaea tournefortii (bioclims + hosts) | Phelypaea tournefortii (bioclims only) | Phelypaea tournefortii (bioclims + hosts) | Phelypaea tournefortii (bioclims only) | Phelypaea tournefortii (bioclims + hosts) | ||
CNRM | SSP1-2.6 | 343.171 | 343.171 | 6.713.889 | 6.713.889 | − 70% | − 70% |
SSP2-4.5 | 682.604 | 77.756 | 14.244.211 | 8.601.703 | − 82% | − 94% | |
SSP3-7.0 | 44.859 | 0.000 | 16.384.730 | 9.038.330 | − 99% | − 100% | |
SSP5-8.5 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 16.557.437 | 9.039.825 | − 100% | − 100% | |
GISS-E2 | SSP1-2.6 | 702.790 | 9.385.239 | 12.124.626 | 3.716.564 | − 69% | 63% |
SSP2-4.5 | 1.359.226 | 11.803.884 | 11.368.005 | 3.700.115 | − 60% | 90% | |
SSP3-7.0 | 719.986 | 9.639.440 | 14.427.385 | 4.817.103 | − 83% | 53% | |
SSP5-8.5 | 741.668 | 8.843.194 | 14.855.040 | 5.801.009 | − 85% | 34% | |
INM | SSP1-2.6 | 288.593 | 349.152 | 10.572.506 | 6.814.074 | − 62% | − 72% |
SSP2-4.5 | 599.615 | 150.277 | 15.198.211 | 8.502.266 | − 88% | − 92% | |
SSP3-7.0 | 595.129 | 674.379 | 15.512.971 | 7.812.933 | − 90% | − 79% | |
SSP5-8.5 | 299.060 | 113.643 | 15.982.495 | 9.026.368 | − 95% | − 99% | |
