Figure 2
Mechanism. The coefficient plot in the top panel shows the estimated effects of receiving a protective spell from a healer and wearing a juju on the self-assessed likelihood to survive the migration journey across the Mediterranean Sea. Markers are point estimates, bars represent 95% confidence intervals. Marginal effects after OLS regression controlling for the full set of sociodemographic characteristics. Full results are shown in Table S4. This figure is based on the survey results from wave 1 (Model 4). Individuals who have received a magic spell from a healer and wear a juju perceive their chances of survival as significantly greater than the average. The bottom panel shows the estimated effects of the self-assessed likelihood to survive the migration journey across the Mediterranean Sea on respondents’ migration intentions, plans, and attempts. Full estimation results are available in Table S5. This figure is based on the survey results of migration intentions and concrete migration plans (wave 1), and migration attempts (pooled from wave 2 and 3). Individuals who perceive their chances of survival as greater than the average intend to go abroad, hold concrete migration plans, and make actual migration attempts at significantly higher rates.
