Table 1 Clinical characteristics of the randomly selected discovery cohort.
Characteristic | No AF | AF | P-value | Univariable analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
N = 522 | N = 411 | Odds ratio (95% CI) | ||
Age, years* | 67 (58, 75) | 74 (66, 80) | < 0.001 | 1.043 (1.031, 1.055) |
Sex, males | 309 (59%) | 256 (62%) | 0.337 | 1.138 (0.873, 1.484) |
Ethnicity | ||||
Caucasian | 362 (69%) | 350 (85%) | < 0.001 | Reference |
Asian | 112 (22%) | 31 (8%) | 0.286 (0.187, 0.437) | |
Afro-Caribbean | 48 (9%) | 30 (7%) | 0.646 (0.400, 1.044) | |
BMI, kg/m2* | 28.7 (25.5, 32.5) | 29.0 (25.1, 33.1) | 0.627 | 1.008 (0.987, 1.029) |
eGFR, mL/min/1.73 m2 | 71.7 (26.1) | 67.8 (25.9) | 0.023 | 0.994 (0.989, 0.999) |
Diabetes | 238 (46%) | 96 (23%) | < 0.001 | 0.364 (0.273, 0.484) |
Stroke/TIA | 46 (9%) | 38 (9%) | 0.818 | 1.054 (0.672, 1.654) |
Coronary artery disease | 252 (48%) | 93 (23%) | < 0.001 | 0.313 (0.235, 0.418) |
Hypertension | 333 (64%) | 218 (53%) | 0.001 | 0.641 (0.493, 0.834) |
Heart failure | 222 (43%) | 219 (53%) | 0.001 | 1.541 (1.188, 1.999) |
Admission criteria (inpatient) | 469 (90%) | 293 (71%) | < 0.001 | 0.281 (0.197, 0.400) |
Medication | ||||
NOAC | 12 (2%) | 198 (48%) | < 0.001 | 39.507 (21.590, 72.291) |
VKA | 12 (2%) | 100 (24%) | < 0.001 | 13.666 (7.387, 25.281) |
Aspirin | 362 (69%) | 101 (25%) | < 0.001 | 0.144 (0.108, 0.193) |
Antiplatelet agents | 277 (53%) | 76 (19%) | < 0.001 | 0.201 (0.148, 0.272) |
ACE inhibitors | 194 (37%) | 121 (29%) | 0.013 | 0.705 (0.535, 0.930) |
Angiotensin II receptor blocker | 82 (16%) | 68 (17%) | 0.730 | 1.064 (0.749, 1.511) |
Beta-blocker | 306 (59%) | 227 (55%) | 0.299 | 0.871 (0.671, 1.131) |
Diuretic | 164 (31%) | 172 (42%) | 0.001 | 1.571 (1.200, 2.057) |
Calcium channel antagonist | 116 (22%) | 66 (16%) | 0.018 | 0.670 (0.479, 0.936) |
Cardiac glycoside | 3 (1%) | 89 (22%) | < 0.001 | 47.817 (15.007, 152.360) |
Aldosterone antagonist | 37 (7%) | 33 (8%) | 0.588 | 1.144 (0.702, 1.865) |
Antiarrhythmics | 8 (2%) | 37 (9%) | < 0.001 | 6.356 (2.926, 13.807) |
Biomarkers | ||||
ANGPT2 (ng/mL)* | 2.36 (1.73, 3.45) | 3.64 (2.28, 6.14) | < 0.001 | 1.243 (1.177, 1.313) |
BMP10 (ng/mL)* | 1.95 (1.70, 2.32) | 2.35 (1.94, 2.94) | < 0.001 | 2.953 (2.348, 3.715) |
CRP (mg/L)* | 4.95 (1.63, 18.89) | 4.19 (1.57, 15.59) | 0.386 | 0.999 (0.996, 1.001) |
CA125 (per 10 U/mL)* | 1.23 (0.82, 2.01) | 1.57 (0.95, 3.40) | < 0.001 | 1.050 (1.020, 1.081) |
ESM1 (ng/mL)* | 2.01 (1.47, 2.91) | 2.36 (1.78, 3.43) | < 0.001 | 1.137 (1.062, 1.218) |
FGF23 (per 100 pg/mL)* | 1.65 (1.05, 2.69) | 1.97 (1.35, 4.16) | < 0.001 | 1.050 (1.023, 1.077) |
FABP3 (per 10 ng/mL)* | 3.53 (2.63, 5.19) | 3.77 (2.82, 5.92) | 0.017 | 1.001 (0.986, 1.016) |
GDF15 (per 100 pg/mL)* | 18.71 (11.42, 31.08) | 21.29 (13.41, 35.22) | 0.004 | 1.004 (1.000, 1.009) |
IGFBP7 (ng/mL)* | 96.23 (82.74, 115.30) | 110.17 (91.65, 140.09) | < 0.001 | 1.010 (1.006, 1.013) |
IL6 (pg/mL)* | 6.38 (3.31, 14.66) | 6.49 (3.37, 14.69) | 0.691 | 1.001 (0.995, 1.008) |
NTproBNP (per 100 pg/mL)* | 4.21 (1.08, 14.34) | 11.20 (3.51, 28.61) | < 0.001 | 1.006 (1.002, 1.009) |
TnT (per 100 pg/mL)* | 0.30 (0.12, 1.09) | 0.22 (0.12, 0.50) | 0.001 | 0.963 (0.943, 0.984) |