Figure 1

An overview of the different model comparisons and different baseline models used for selecting the final multivariate highly pathogenic avian influenza virus time-series models for the HPAI1621 and HPAI2122 data. Within-country/between-country effects denote that covariates/offsets/seasonality/power law was only included in the within-country/between-country effects of the epidemic component. All models included country area relative to all the country areas as offset in the endemic component.