Figure 5
Epidemic curves from successful epidemics among simulated Florida panther populations with a SIR (susceptible-infectious-recovered) model. (A) Shows simulation results under the SIR parameterization conditions that produced the largest difference in total proportion of population infected between dry and wet seasons (probability of transmission given contact = 0.6, edge weight scaling = 1.0, weekly probability of recovery = 0.25). In contrast, (B) shows epidemic curves for the set of parameters producing the largest overall SIR epidemic sizes (probability of transmission given contact = 1.0, edge weight scaling = 1.0, weekly probability of recovery = 0.125). Dark tan lines show dry season results; teal lines show wet season results. Lighter lines are for individual simulations, and thick lines are mean values per time step across simulations. Note that y-axis scales differ between panels.
