Table 2 Cumulative numbers of infections with SARS-CoV-2 in the counterfactual scenarios.

Age group (years)	Scenario^a	Estimate (thousand)	95% confidence interval	Relative change (%)^b
0–9	Early	93	87–99	− 72
	Late	498	477–518	50
	Elevated	109	103–115	− 67
10–19	Early	324	304–345	− 30
	Late	1677	1611–1740	260
	Elevated	375	354–398	− 20
20–29	Early	537	508–567	− 56
	Late	2470	2373–2563	101
	Elevated	597	565–629	− 51
30–39	Early	314	295–332	− 60
	Late	1545	1478–1610	95
	Elevated	356	336–376	− 55
40–49	Early	344	324–364	− 53
	Late	1731	1654–1804	134
	Elevated	391	369–413	− 47
50–59	Early	266	251–281	− 54
	Late	1303	1243–1361	126
	Elevated	303	287–320	− 48
60–69	Early	120	114–127	− 52
	Late	495	470–518	98
	Elevated	148	140–156	− 41
70–79	Early	95	90–100	− 43
	Late	286	272–299	71
	Elevated	110	104–116	− 34
80–89	Early	57	54–61	− 47
	Late	148	141–154	36
	Elevated	64	61–68	− 41
≥ 90	Early	16	15–17	− 63
	Late	43	41–45	2
	Elevated	18	17–19	− 58
Total	Early	2166	2044–2290	-54
	Late	10,196	9761–10,607	117
	Elevated	2470	2337–2610	− 47

^aEarly: counterfactual scenario of a vaccination program implemented earlier that the actual schedule; Late: counterfactual scenario of a vaccination program implemented later that the actual schedule; Elevated: counterfactual scenario if the program had been implemented faster with higher vaccination coverage among adolescents and people aged 10–59 years.
^bRelative change represents a comparison between the computed number and observed number (i.e., reporting coverage = 0.25).

Quick links

Search