Table 2 Results of the cox proportional hazards regression models: Prediction of all-cause mortality on self-rated physical and mental health at baseline, adjusting for confounders.

From: Self-rated physical health predicts mortality in aging persons beyond objective health risks

Self-rated physical health

Self-rated mental health

 

HR

95% CI

p-value

HR

95% CI

p-value

Model 1, n = 14,991; events = 1249; concordance = 0.78

Model 1, n = 14,993; events = 1249; concordance = 0.78

Self-rated health (poor)

1.94

1.72–2.19

 < 0.001

1.30

1.12–1.50

0.001

Gender (men)

1.93

1.72–2.17

 < 0.001

1.89

1.68–2.12

 < 0.001

Age

1.11

1.10–1.12

 < 0.001

1.11

1.10–1.12

 < 0.001

Model 2, n = 14;238: events = 1172; concordance = 0.81

Model 2, n = 14,241; events = 1172; concordance = 0.81

Self-rated health (poor)

1.35

1.19–1.54

 < 0.001

1.08

0.92–1.26

0.352

Gender (men)

1.75

1.54–2.00

 < 0.001

1.73

1.52–1.98

 < 0.001

Age

1.09

1.09–1.10

 < 0.001

1.09

1.08–1.10

 < 0.001

BMI (< 18.5)

2.26

1.16–4.40

0.017

2.28

1.17–4.44

0.016

BMI (25–30)

0.84

0.72–0.99

0.032

0.85

0.72–0.99

0.035

BMI (30–35)

0.91

0.76–1.08

0.279

0.93

0.78–1.10

0.39

BMI (35–40)

0.95

0.74–1.22

0.677

0.99

0.77–1.27

0.912

BMI (> = 40)

1.65

1.21–2.26

0.002

1.77

1.30–2.42

 < 0.001

Chronic diseases = 1

1.29

1.06–1.57

0.011

1.29

1.06–1.57

0.011

Chronic diseases = 2

1.89

1.53–2.33

 < 0.001

1.94

1.57–2.39

 < 0.001

Chronic diseases = 3

2.60

2.06–3.29

 < 0.001

2.77

2.20–3.49

 < 0.001

Chronic diseases >  = 4

3.59

2.81–4.59

 < 0.001

3.89

3.05–4.95

 < 0.001

Log (smoking (pack-years))

1.29

1.22–1.35

 < 0.001

1.30

1.23–1.36

 < 0.001

Smoking (packyears = zero)

0.96

0.83–1.12

0.633

0.97

0.84–1.13

0.706

Socioeconomic status

0.96

0.94–0.97

 < 0.001

0.95

0.94–0.97

 < 0.001

  1. Model 1 adjusting for age and gender, Model 2 adjusting additionally for subclinical health indicators, number of chronic physical disease, smoking, and socioeconomic status. HR = hazard ratio; Concordance = Goodness-of-fit-index; BMI = body mass index.