Figure 8

The seasonal cycle of SWWA area-averaged rainfall in the AGCD observations (black), the piControl (green) and the histALL (red) with the multi-model mean in bold. Each row shows which masks are applied to compute the area-average rainfall and are shown in the panels heading in parenthesis after the obs. and models, where 'LSFmask' and 'LSAmask' represent the masks shown in Fig. 7a and b, respectively. Vertical error bars on the monthly average AGCD rainfall represent the 5th and 95th percentiles confidence interval estimated using bootstrapping of monthly average rainfall. Left panels are CMIP5 and right are CMIP6.