Table 3 Ranges of consolidated experts' estimates shown through minimum and maximum values, including the median.
| Â | Earthquake intensity (PEIS) | Typhoon intensity (km/h) | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
URM | LW-A | LW-B | SC-A | SC-B | RC-A | RC-B | URM | LW-A | LW-B | SC-A | SC-B | RC-A | RC-B | |||
Confidence levels* | Min | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
Max | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | ||
Median | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | ||
DS 1 | Median IM** | Min | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 50 | 30 | 30 | 60 | 60 | 45 | 70 |
Max | 6 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 300 | 225 | 225 | 300 | 300 | 300 | 400 | ||
Median | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4.5 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 120 | 150 | ||
Lower bound IM | Min | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 20 | 25 | 50 | 55 | 30 | 60 | |
Max | 5 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 250 | 200 | 200 | 250 | 250 | 250 | 400 | ||
Median | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 80 | 60 | 70 | 80 | 80 | 100 | 130 | ||
DS 2 | Median IM | Min | 3 | 3.5 | 4 | 3 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 3 | 70 | 40 | 40 | 75 | 80 | 55 | 90 |
Max | 6 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 325 | 250 | 250 | 325 | 325 | 325 | 400 | ||
Median | 4 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5.75 | 5.5 | 150 | 120 | 126 | 135 | 140 | 150 | 200 | ||
Lower bound IM | Min | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 25 | 30 | 60 | 70 | 45 | 70 | |
Max | 5 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 275 | 225 | 225 | 275 | 275 | 275 | 400 | ||
Median | 3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 120 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 125 | 155 | ||
DS 3 | Median IM | Min | 3 | 4 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 75 | 60 | 60 | 90 | 90 | 75 | 160 |
Max | 7 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 350 | 275 | 275 | 350 | 350 | 350 | 400 | ||
Median | 5 | 6 | 6.75 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6.75 | 180 | 155 | 155 | 160 | 180 | 200 | 300 | ||
Lower bound IM | Min | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 40 | 45 | 60 | 60 | 50 | 100 | |
Max | 6 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 300 | 250 | 250 | 300 | 300 | 300 | 400 | ||
Median | 4 | 5 | 5.5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5.5 | 160 | 115 | 120 | 125 | 145 | 150 | 200 | ||
DS 4 | Median IM | Min | 4 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 80 | 90 | 90 | 140 | 140 | 90 | 220 |
Max | 8 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 375 | 300 | 300 | 375 | 375 | 375 | 400 | ||
Median | 6 | 7 | 7.25 | 7 | 7 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 200 | 200 | 200 | 200 | 205 | 240 | 350 | ||
Lower bound IM | Min | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 70 | 80 | 90 | 100 | 100 | 75 | 160 | |
Max | 7 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 325 | 275 | 275 | 325 | 325 | 325 | 400 | ||
Median | 5 | 6 | 6.25 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6.5 | 175 | 150 | 150 | 150 | 175 | 200 | 300 | ||
DS 5 | Median IM | Min | 5 | 6 | 6.5 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 90 | 110 | 110 | 150 | 150 | 100 | 250 |
Max | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 400 | 325 | 325 | 400 | 400 | 400 | 400 | ||
Median | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 250 | 245 | 250 | 250 | 240 | 260 | 400 | ||
Lower bound IM | Min | 4 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 60 | 90 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 85 | 180 | |
Max | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 375 | 300 | 300 | 350 | 350 | 350 | 400 | ||
Median | 6.5 | 7 | 7.25 | 7 | 7 | 7.5 | 7.25 | 200 | 180 | 185 | 200 | 200 | 222.5 | 325 | ||
