Table 2 Source and methods for calculating growth factors.
Sector | Activity projection data | Key variables for downscaling by province | Estimation method | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Energy sector | The 6th Basic Plan for Power Supply and Demand | Power plant closure/new construction plan (Applying the location of the power plant) | Apply plan contents | |
Industry | The 2nd Basic Energy Plan | Sectoral energy consumption per Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) | After performing a regression analysis of GRDP per working-age population and energy consumption by sector per GRDP, the sum of local governments is proportionally adjusted to the national amount (downscaling) | |
Domestic | The 2nd Basic Energy Plan | Energy consumption per capita | After performing a regression analysis on energy consumption per capita, the sum of local governments is proportionally adjusted to the national amount (downscaling) | |
Transport | The 2nd Basic Energy Plan | Road (gasoline, diesel) | Energy consumption per car | Regression analysis of population per car and gasoline and diesel consumption per car then adjusting the sum of local governments in proportion to the national amount (downscaling) |
Road (other fuel) | Energy consumption per car | Use base year ratio | ||
Rail, airline, and maritime | Energy consumption per capita | Use base year percentage | ||
