Table 9 Fitting results for the expected construction period and probability of completion.

From: Schedule risk model of water intake tunnel construction considering mood factors and its application

Fitting method

Expected construction period\(T\)(d)

\({R}^{2}\)

Linear fitting (\(\alpha\)and\(\beta\)are both first power)

\(T=388+0.472 \alpha -0.1744\beta\)

0.9848

Completion probability\(P\)(%)

Linear fitting (\(\alpha\)and\(\beta\)are both first power)

\(P=59.72-0.6983\alpha +0.4294\beta\)

0.9361

Nonlinear fitting (\(\alpha\)is first power and\(\beta\)is second power)

\(P=47.56-0.5622\alpha +0.9939\beta -0.002722\alpha \cdot \beta -0.004283{\beta }^{2}\)

0.9714

Nonlinear fitting (\(\alpha\)is second power and\(\beta\)is first power)

\(P=55.2-0.7447\alpha -0.5655\beta -0.002722\alpha \cdot \beta +0.001825{\alpha }^{2}\)

0.9531

Nonlinear fitting (\(\alpha\)and\(\beta\)are both second power)

\(P=49.84-0.7447\alpha +0.9939\beta +0.001825{\alpha }^{2}-0.002722\alpha \cdot \beta -0.004283{\beta }^{2}\)

0.9754