Table 7 The probability of final consequences on Bayesian networks.
Consequences | Bow-tie | Prior probability | Posterior probability |
|---|---|---|---|
Jet fire | 8.22303E−5 | 1.5600408E−6 | 2.8E−5 |
VCE | 1.35639E−7 | 1.2085859E−7 | 2.1692E−6 |
Flash fire | 1.15577E−4 | 1.097505E−4 | 1.96983E−3 |
Safe dispersion | 5.4633962E−2 | 7.0797849E−2 | 0 |